BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Paullina South O'Brien

Class: A Class Rank: 16 Conference: A-1 Record: (24-7-0) Overall: (61-42-0) Overall Strength =   75.46

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/19/2011 Away    L      77.50   7  20   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux     2.12    -15.12                      
 2 08/26/2011 Away    L      61.96  17  33   2A 24 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -13.41     -2.59                      
 3 09/02/2011 Home    W   *  82.63  17   7    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View     7.25      2.75                      
 4 09/09/2011 Away    W      74.73  13  10   ZZ 17 (  2-  7-  0) Pocahontas Area-Pome   -0.64      3.64                      
 5 09/16/2011 Home    L      99.27  20  21 1 2A  3 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       23.89    -24.89                      
 6 09/23/2011 Home    L      41.15   0  42   1A 12 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg            -34.23     -7.77                      
 7 09/30/2011 Away    W      74.25  25  13   1A 42 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan       -1.12     13.12                      
 8 10/07/2011 Home    W      98.59  29   0    A 23 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia           23.21      5.79                      
 9 10/14/2011 Away    W * *  91.87  20   0    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            16.49      3.51                      
10 10/21/2011 Home    L      65.93   7  12   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -9.45      4.45                      
11 10/26/2011 Away    W * *  89.22  28  14    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         13.85      0.15                      
12 10/31/2011 Away    L      88.84   6  21   2A  3 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       13.46    -28.46                      
13 08/24/2012 Away    W     103.50  13   0   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    28.12    -15.12                      
14 08/31/2012 Home    W      84.42  28  27   1A 10 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                  9.04     -8.04                      
15 09/07/2012 Home    W * *  94.19  35   7    A 30 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          18.82      9.18                      
16 09/14/2012 Away    L      80.22  14  21   2A 13 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center            4.84    -11.84                      
17 09/21/2012 Away    W      98.91  52   7   2A 51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        23.53     21.47                      
18 09/28/2012 Home    W * *  91.30  37  14    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            15.92      7.08                      
19 10/05/2012 Home    W      88.52  38   0    A 50 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            13.15     24.85                      
20 10/12/2012 Away    L      35.72   0  51   1A 12 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg            -39.65    -11.35                      
21 10/19/2012 Away    W     115.25  41  15   1A  8 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian      39.88    -13.88                      
22 10/24/2012 Home    W      90.18  34  12    A 27 ( 38- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      14.81      7.19                      
23 10/29/2012 Away    L   *  71.37  17  28    A 10 ( 64- 36-  0) IKM-Manning            -4.01     -6.99                      
24 08/30/2013 Home    W     116.92  37   7   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    41.55    -11.55  ND                  
25 09/06/2013 Away    W      93.99  28  21   1A 10 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                 18.62    -11.62  ND                  
26 09/13/2013 Away    L * *  63.77  19  25    A 30 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen         -11.61      5.61                      
27 09/20/2013 Home    W      91.65  34  26   2A 13 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center           16.27     -8.27  ND                  
28 09/27/2013 Home    W      85.34  42   7   2A 51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji         9.96     25.04                      
29 10/05/2013 Away    W * *  99.87  34   6    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            24.49      3.51  was 10/04 now 10/05 
30 10/11/2013 Away    W      72.09  28  10    A 50 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            -3.28     21.28                      
31 10/18/2013 Home    W      84.15   7   6   1A 12 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg              8.77     -7.77                      
32 10/25/2013 Home    W     102.68  43  26   1A  8 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian      27.31    -10.31                      
33 10/30/2013 Home    W      98.93  28   0   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          23.55      4.45                      
34 11/04/2013 Home    W   *  85.63  27  14    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    10.25      2.75                      
35 11/08/2013 Away    L      42.60   3  42    A 11 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -32.77     -6.23                      
36 08/29/2014 Home    L      48.39   7  33   2A 24 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -26.98      0.98                      
37 09/05/2014 Away    W * *  72.87  22  21    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            -2.51      3.51                      
38 09/12/2014 Home    W * *  73.19  14   7    A 30 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          -2.18      9.18                      
39 09/20/2014 Away    W      97.50  28  21   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    22.12    -15.12  started 09/19       
40 09/26/2014 Home    W      81.93  25  14   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central           6.55      4.45                      
41 10/03/2014 Away    W      90.16  17   0    A 23 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia           14.78      2.22                      
42 10/10/2014 Home    W * *  92.65  35  14    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         17.27      3.73                      
43 10/17/2014 Away    L   *  52.35   0  27    A 13 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -23.03     -3.97                      
44 10/24/2014 Away    W * *  83.97  39  30    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield         8.60      0.40                      
45 10/29/2014 Home    L      85.92  16  17   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    10.55    -11.55                      
46 08/28/2015 Away    W      98.96  33  12   2A 24 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                23.59     -2.59  ND                  
47 09/04/2015 Home    W * *  69.30  14  13    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            -6.08      7.08  ND                  
48 09/11/2015 Away    W * *  81.77  21   9    A 30 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen           6.39      5.61                      
49 09/18/2015 Home    L      46.92   6  46   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux   -28.45    -11.55                      
50 09/25/2015 Away    L      53.50  13  34   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -21.88      0.88                      
51 10/02/2015 Home    L      41.59   0  28    A 23 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia          -33.79      5.79                      
52 10/09/2015 Away    L * *  39.22   0  36    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson        -36.15      0.15                      
53 10/16/2015 Home    L   *  48.77  15  42    A 13 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -26.60     -0.40                      
54 10/23/2015 Home    L * *  47.40  16  40    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield       -27.97      3.97                      
55 08/26/2016 Home    L   *  52.77   0  23    A 13 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -22.60     -0.40  ND                  
56 09/02/2016 Home    L      60.39  14  28   2A 24 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -14.98      0.98  ND                  
57 09/09/2016 Away    W * *  89.87  25   7    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            14.49      3.51                      
58 09/16/2016 Away    W     102.60  27   6    A 11 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   27.23     -6.23                      
59 09/23/2016 Home    W      77.93  34  27   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central           2.55      4.45                      
60 09/30/2016 Away    L      43.99   0  40    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -31.39     -8.61                      
61 10/07/2016 Away    W * *  69.87  41   6    A 60 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus MMCRU           -5.51     40.51                      
62 10/14/2016 Home    W      65.52  35  20    A 50 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            -9.85     24.85                      
63 10/21/2016 Away    W   * 110.20  42   8    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    34.82     -0.82                      
64 10/28/2016 Away    L      61.50  20  49   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux   -13.88    -15.12                      
65 08/25/2017 Away    L   *  54.35   0  25    A 13 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -21.03     -3.97  ND                  
66 09/01/2017 Away    L      43.96  14  48   2A 24 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -31.41     -2.59  ND                  
67 09/08/2017 Home    L * *  55.30  14  27    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS           -20.08      7.08                      
68 09/15/2017 Home    L      51.03   7  34    A 11 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -24.34     -2.66                      
69 09/22/2017 Away    L      62.50   6  18   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -12.88      0.88                      
70 09/29/2017 Home    L      45.42   0  35    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -29.96     -5.04                      
71 10/07/2017 Home    W * *  63.30  40   8    A 60 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus MMCRU          -12.08     44.08  was 10/06 now 10/07 
72 10/13/2017 Away    W      87.09  33   0    A 50 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            11.72     21.28                      
73 10/20/2017 Home    L   *  34.63   7  45    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View   -40.75      2.75                      
74 08/24/2018 Away    W      83.19  19   6    8 16 ( 44- 39-  0) Ruthven GTRA            7.81      5.19  ND                  
75 08/31/2018 Away    L      64.96  14  27   2A 24 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -10.41     -2.59  ND                  
76 09/07/2018 Home    L      56.59   9  22    A 23 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia          -18.79      5.79  ND                  
77 09/14/2018 Away    L      49.50   6  31   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -25.88      0.88  ND                  
78 09/21/2018 Home    W * *  75.30  20  13    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            -0.08      7.08                      
79 09/28/2018 Away    W * *  74.87  40   0    A 60 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus MMCRU           -0.51     40.51                      
80 10/05/2018 Home    W * * 101.19  35   0    A 30 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          25.82      9.18                      
81 10/12/2018 Away    L * *  49.97  13  38    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield       -25.40      0.40                      
82 10/19/2018 Home    L      60.42   0  23   1A 10 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                -14.96     -8.04                      
83 08/30/2019 Home    W      80.62  36  22    8 16 ( 44- 39-  0) Ruthven GTRA            5.24      8.76  ND                  
84 09/06/2019 Home    W      80.39  34  28   2A 24 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                 5.02      0.98  ND                  
85 09/13/2019 Away    W      88.16  15   0    A 23 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia           12.78      2.22  ND                  
86 09/20/2019 Home    W      96.93  42  16   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          21.55      4.45  ND                  
87 09/27/2019 Away    W * *  92.87  28   7    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            17.49      3.51                      
88 10/04/2019 Home    W * *  77.30  46   0    A 60 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus MMCRU            1.92     44.08                      
89 10/11/2019 Away    L * *  62.77   7  14    A 30 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen         -12.61      5.61                      
90 10/18/2019 Home    W * * 106.40  35   0    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        31.03      3.97                      
91 10/25/2019 Away    W      96.99  22  12   1A 10 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                 21.62    -11.62                      
92 11/01/2019 Home    W      98.29  43   7    A 35 ( 41- 50-  0) Neola Tri-Center       22.91     13.09                      
93 11/08/2019 Away    L      47.85   0  43    A  4 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -27.53    -15.47                      
94 08/28/2020 Away    L      54.50   7  27   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -20.88      0.88  ND                  
95 09/04/2020 Home    L      53.39   0  21   2A 24 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -21.98      0.98  ND                  
96 09/11/2020 Away    W * *  79.87  20  12    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS             4.49      3.51                      
97 09/18/2020 Home    W * *  65.30  34   0    A 60 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus MMCRU          -10.08     44.08                      
98 09/25/2020 Home    W * * 107.40  36   0    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        32.03      3.97                      
99 10/02/2020 Away    L * *  69.22   6  12    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         -6.15      0.15                      
100 10/09/2020 Away    W * *  89.77  32  12    A 30 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          14.39      5.61                      
101 10/16/2020 Home    W   *  81.33  34  16    A 32 ( 50- 44-  0) Sloan Westwood          5.96     12.04                      
102 10/23/2020 Home    W   *  74.63   8   6    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    -0.75      2.75                      
103 10/30/2020 Away    L      76.21   8  20    A  5 ( 85- 26-  0) CB St Albert            0.83    -12.83                      
      Averages              75.46  20.9 18.4

Best game:  116.92 = 30 point win over Hawarden West Sioux
Worst game:  34.63 = 38 point loss to Holstein Ridge View
Team stdev:  20.19