BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Paullina South O'Brien

Class: A Class Rank: 17 Conference: A-1 Record: (19-7-0) Overall: (61-42-0) Overall Strength =   75.34

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Away    L    77.32   7  20   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux     2.07    -15.07                      
  2 08/26/2011 Away    L    61.82  17  33   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -13.44     -2.56                      
  3 09/02/2011 Home    W    82.52  17   7    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View     7.26      2.74                      
  4 09/09/2011 Away    W    74.59  13  10   ZZ  31 (  2-  7-  0) Pocahontas Area-Pome   -0.66      3.66                      
  5 09/16/2011 Home    L    99.15  20  21 1 2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       23.89    -24.89                      
  6 09/23/2011 Home    L    41.05   0  42   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg            -34.20     -7.80                      
  7 09/30/2011 Away    W    74.09  25  13   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan       -1.17     13.17                      
  8 10/07/2011 Home    W    98.44  29   0    A  24 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia           23.19      5.81                      
  9 10/14/2011 Away    W *  91.75  20   0    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            16.49      3.51                      
 10 10/21/2011 Home    L    65.81   7  12   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -9.45      4.45                      
 11 10/26/2011 Away    W *  89.06  28  14    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         13.80      0.20                      
 12 10/31/2011 Away    L    88.69   6  21   2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       13.43    -28.43                      
 13 08/24/2012 Away    W   103.32  13   0   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    28.07    -15.07                      
 14 08/31/2012 Home    W    84.29  28  27   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                  9.03     -8.03                      
 15 09/07/2012 Home    W *  93.73  35   7    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          18.48      9.52                      
 16 09/14/2012 Away    L    80.07  14  21   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center            4.81    -11.81                      
 17 09/21/2012 Away    W    98.78  52   7   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        23.52     21.48                      
 18 09/28/2012 Home    W *  91.20  37  14    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            15.95      7.05                      
 19 10/05/2012 Home    W    88.45  38   0    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            13.19     24.81                      
 20 10/12/2012 Away    L    35.60   0  51   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg            -39.66    -11.34                      
 21 10/19/2012 Away    W   115.10  41  15   1A   9 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian      39.84    -13.84                      
 22 10/24/2012 Home    W    90.05  34  12    A  28 ( 38- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      14.79      7.21                      
 23 10/29/2012 Away    L    71.21  17  28    A  11 ( 64- 36-  0) IKM-Manning            -4.05     -6.95                      
 24 08/30/2013 Home    W   116.78  37   7   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    41.52    -11.52  ND                  
 25 09/06/2013 Away    W    93.83  28  21   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                 18.57    -11.57  ND                  
 26 09/13/2013 Away    L *  63.28  19  25    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen         -11.98      5.98                      
 27 09/20/2013 Home    W    91.53  34  26   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center           16.27     -8.27  ND                  
 28 09/27/2013 Home    W    85.24  42   7   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji         9.98     25.02                      
 29 10/05/2013 Away    W *  99.75  34   6    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            24.49      3.51  was 10/04 now 10/05 
 30 10/11/2013 Away    W    71.99  28  10    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            -3.27     21.27                      
 31 10/18/2013 Home    W    84.05   7   6   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg              8.80     -7.80                      
 32 10/25/2013 Home    W   102.56  43  26   1A   9 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian      27.30    -10.30                      
 33 10/30/2013 Home    W    98.81  28   0   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          23.55      4.45                      
 34 11/04/2013 Home    W    85.52  27  14    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    10.26      2.74                      
 35 11/08/2013 Away    L    42.50   3  42    A  12 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -32.76     -6.24                      
 36 08/29/2014 Home    L    48.28   7  33   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -26.98      0.98                      
 37 09/05/2014 Away    W *  72.75  22  21    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            -2.51      3.51                      
 38 09/12/2014 Home    W *  72.73  14   7    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          -2.52      9.52                      
 39 09/20/2014 Away    W    97.32  28  21   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    22.07    -15.07  started 09/19       
 40 09/26/2014 Home    W    81.81  25  14   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central           6.55      4.45                      
 41 10/03/2014 Away    W    89.99  17   0    A  24 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia           14.73      2.27                      
 42 10/10/2014 Home    W *  92.51  35  14    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         17.26      3.74                      
 43 10/17/2014 Away    L    52.16   0  27    A  14 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -23.09     -3.91                      
 44 10/24/2014 Away    W *  83.80  39  30    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield         8.54      0.46                      
 45 10/29/2014 Home    L    85.78  16  17   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    10.52    -11.52                      
 46 08/28/2015 Away    W    98.82  33  12   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                23.56     -2.56  ND                  
 47 09/04/2015 Home    W *  69.20  14  13    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            -6.05      7.05  ND                  
 48 09/11/2015 Away    W *  81.28  21   9    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen           6.02      5.98                      
 49 09/18/2015 Home    L    46.78   6  46   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux   -28.48    -11.52                      
 50 09/25/2015 Away    L    53.35  13  34   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -21.91      0.91                      
 51 10/02/2015 Home    L    41.44   0  28    A  24 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia          -33.81      5.81                      
 52 10/09/2015 Away    L *  39.06   0  36    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson        -36.20      0.20                      
 53 10/16/2015 Home    L    48.62  15  42    A  14 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -26.64     -0.36                      
 54 10/23/2015 Home    L *  47.26  16  40    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield       -28.00      4.00                      
 55 08/26/2016 Home    L    52.62   0  23    A  14 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -22.64     -0.36  ND                  
 56 09/02/2016 Home    L    60.28  14  28   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -14.98      0.98  ND                  
 57 09/09/2016 Away    W *  89.75  25   7    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            14.49      3.51                      
 58 09/16/2016 Away    W   102.50  27   6    A  12 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   27.24     -6.24                      
 59 09/23/2016 Home    W    77.81  34  27   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central           2.55      4.45                      
 60 09/30/2016 Away    L    43.87   0  40    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -31.39     -8.61                      
 61 10/07/2016 Away    W    70.49  41   6   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride   -4.76     39.76                      
 62 10/14/2016 Home    W    65.45  35  20    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            -9.81     24.81                      
 63 10/21/2016 Away    W   110.06  42   8    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    34.80     -0.80                      
 64 10/28/2016 Away    L    61.32  20  49   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux   -13.93    -15.07                      
 65 08/25/2017 Away    L    54.16   0  25    A  14 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -21.09     -3.91  ND                  
 66 09/01/2017 Away    L    43.82  14  48   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -31.44     -2.56  ND                  
 67 09/08/2017 Home    L *  55.20  14  27    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS           -20.05      7.05                      
 68 09/15/2017 Home    L    50.96   7  34    A  12 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -24.30     -2.70                      
 69 09/22/2017 Away    L    62.35   6  18   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -12.91      0.91                      
 70 09/29/2017 Home    L    45.32   0  35    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -29.93     -5.07                      
 71 10/07/2017 Home    W    63.95  40   8   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride  -11.31     43.31  was 10/06 now 10/07 
 72 10/13/2017 Away    W    86.99  33   0    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            11.73     21.27                      
 73 10/20/2017 Home    L    34.52   7  45    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View   -40.74      2.74                      
 74 08/24/2018 Away    W    83.05  19   6    8  17 ( 44- 39-  0) Ruthven GTRA            7.80      5.20  ND                  
 75 08/31/2018 Away    L    64.82  14  27   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -10.44     -2.56  ND                  
 76 09/07/2018 Home    L    56.44   9  22    A  24 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia          -18.81      5.81  ND                  
 77 09/14/2018 Away    L    49.35   6  31   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -25.91      0.91  ND                  
 78 09/21/2018 Home    W *  75.20  20  13    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            -0.05      7.05                      
 79 09/28/2018 Away    W    75.49  40   0   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride    0.24     39.76                      
 80 10/05/2018 Home    W * 100.73  35   0    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          25.48      9.52                      
 81 10/12/2018 Away    L *  49.80  13  38    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield       -25.46      0.46                      
 82 10/19/2018 Home    L    60.29   0  23   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                -14.97     -8.03                      
 83 08/30/2019 Home    W    80.51  36  22    8  17 ( 44- 39-  0) Ruthven GTRA            5.25      8.75  ND                  
 84 09/06/2019 Home    W    80.28  34  28   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                 5.02      0.98  ND                  
 85 09/13/2019 Away    W    87.99  15   0    A  24 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia           12.73      2.27  ND                  
 86 09/20/2019 Home    W    96.81  42  16   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          21.55      4.45  ND                  
 87 09/27/2019 Away    W *  92.75  28   7    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            17.49      3.51                      
 88 10/04/2019 Home    W    77.95  46   0   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride    2.69     43.31                      
 89 10/11/2019 Away    L *  62.28   7  14    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen         -12.98      5.98                      
 90 10/18/2019 Home    W * 106.26  35   0    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        31.00      4.00                      
 91 10/25/2019 Away    W    96.83  22  12   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                 21.57    -11.57                      
 92 11/01/2019 Home    W    98.17  43   7    A  35 ( 41- 50-  0) Neola Tri-Center       22.91     13.09                      
 93 11/08/2019 Away    L    47.72   0  43    A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -27.54    -15.46                      
 94 08/28/2020 Away    L    54.35   7  27   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -20.91      0.91  ND                  
 95 09/04/2020 Home    L    53.28   0  21   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -21.98      0.98  ND                  
 96 09/11/2020 Away    W *  79.75  20  12    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS             4.49      3.51                      
 97 09/18/2020 Home    W    65.95  34   0   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride   -9.31     43.31                      
 98 09/25/2020 Home    W * 107.26  36   0    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        32.00      4.00                      
 99 10/02/2020 Away    L *  69.06   6  12    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         -6.20      0.20                      
100 10/09/2020 Away    W *  89.28  32  12    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          14.02      5.98                      
101 10/16/2020 Home    W    81.21  34  16    A  33 ( 50- 44-  0) Sloan Westwood          5.95     12.05                      
102 10/23/2020 Home    W    74.52   8   6    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    -0.74      2.74                      
103 10/30/2020 Away    L    76.05   8  20    A   6 ( 85- 26-  0) CB St Albert            0.80    -12.80                      
      Averages              75.34  20.9 18.4

Best game:  116.78 = 30 point win over Hawarden West Sioux
Worst game:  34.52 = 38 point loss to Holstein Ridge View
Team stdev:  20.17